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Best of John Grochowski

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The Casino Answer Man

10 January 2001

Q. Some years ago a fellow worker at my Ford office described to me a craps betting system whereby if you roll a 4, 5, 6, 8, 9, or 10 on the comeout roll, you then bet on the 7 along with backing your line bet with free odds. That way you either make money or break even whether you make the point or not. Is that a good betting strategy?

John R., via e-mail

A. I've seen many players try to "protect" their pass-line wagers by also betting on 7. Winning bets on 7 pay 4-1, so they'll bet $1 on the 7 in hopes of offsetting losses on the pass line. The problem is that the pass line is a multiroll bet, while wagers on 7 are decided on every roll. On rolls that are not the point number and not a 7, the pass bet just stays on the board while the bet on 7 loses.

Let's assume the point is 4. As with the 10, there are only three ways to roll a 4, leaving the pass player at his most vulnerable. In a perfect sequence of 36 rolls in which each possible combination turns up once, the $5 pass bettor will win on 4 three times, collecting $15, but lose six times, dropping $30 for net losses of $15.

That's not an inviting scenario, but it's even worse for a player who also hedges by betting on any 7. He still loses a net of $15 on the pass line. Does he make it up by winning on 7? No. His $1 bet on 7 bet wins six times in the sequence, for $24 in winnings, but loses 30 times for $30 in losses. That's a net loss of $6 on any 7, pushing overall losses up to $21 for the sequence.

Does increasing the bet size on 7 help? No, it makes matters worse. Bet $5 on 7, and losses soar to $30 on 7, to go with the $15 in losses on the line.

Hedging by making a bad bet -- and 7 is one of the worst -- to go along with a good one such as the pass line does not protect the player. It just makes for bigger losses.


Want to learn about craps. We recommend:

Forever Craps by Frank Scoblete
Beat the Craps Out of the Casinos: How to Play Craps and Win! by Frank Scoblete
The Captain's Craps Revolution! by Frank Scoblete
Sharpshooter Craps Audio Cassette Tape (60 minutes) with Frank Scoblete
Recent Articles
Best of John Grochowski
John Grochowski

John Grochowski is the best-selling author of The Craps Answer Book, The Slot Machine Answer Book and The Video Poker Answer Book. His weekly column is syndicated to newspapers and Web sites, and he contributes to many of the major magazines and newspapers in the gaming field, including Midwest Gaming and Travel, Slot Manager, Casino Journal, Strictly Slots and Casino Player.

Listen to John Grochowski's "Casino Answer Man" tips Tuesday through Friday at 5:18 p.m. on WLS-AM (890) in Chicago. Look for John Grochowski on Facebook and Twitter @GrochowskiJ.

John Grochowski Websites:

www.casinoanswerman.com

Books by John Grochowski:

> More Books By John Grochowski

John Grochowski
John Grochowski is the best-selling author of The Craps Answer Book, The Slot Machine Answer Book and The Video Poker Answer Book. His weekly column is syndicated to newspapers and Web sites, and he contributes to many of the major magazines and newspapers in the gaming field, including Midwest Gaming and Travel, Slot Manager, Casino Journal, Strictly Slots and Casino Player.

Listen to John Grochowski's "Casino Answer Man" tips Tuesday through Friday at 5:18 p.m. on WLS-AM (890) in Chicago. Look for John Grochowski on Facebook and Twitter @GrochowskiJ.

John Grochowski Websites:

www.casinoanswerman.com

Books by John Grochowski:

The Craps Answer Book

> More Books By John Grochowski